Risky Business

I prepared this risk analysis very early on but did not publish it.  I am doing so now, but backdating it to the beginning of the project, which is when it was prepared.

In any project it is always a good idea to be aware of the things that can go wrong and put you off schedule, or off track or, in this case, off the road.  Some of the issues that might impact upon an obruni  procuring and restoring an old vehicle in Ghana and using it to explore West Africa include the following.

Risk Rating Mitigation Strategy
 A.   To Procurement
  1. Cannot find a suitable vehicle
LowThere  seems to be no shortage in Accra. Diversify sourcing network beyond Opere by telling CHC drivers and  Francis the CHC mechanic I am in the market
B.    To Restoration
  1.   Opere becomes unavailable due to illness, misfortune or disagreement between us.
MediumOpere seems a tremendous asset, but my dependence on him need not be absolute.
  • Getting  the mechanical rebuild done first
  • carefully  cultivating the relationship  so I can rely on him
  • Diversify sources of expertise
      2.   I become ill, or Ghana posting is cut short Medium If fopr any reason I have to bail on the project with a half-restored vehicle I can likely find someone to buy it,  Opere himself will likely be a good candidate
  1.  Actual Restoration cost exceeds budget
Medium Complete as much as possible of the work myself; careful sourcing of parts;
C.   To the Expedition
  1.  Cannot take the time due to personnel or professional obligations
 LowI am now eligible to retire and plan to do so when I leave here so there will be no professional obligations Complete arrangements for retirement, pre-retirement leave, and repatriation of personal effects well in advance.
      2.   Mechanical Troubles en route Medium to High This is an older vehicle, mechanical troubles have to be expected Become very familiar with the vehicle;Carry suitable tools;Complete Test Trips
      3.   Political Instability in Countries to be Visitied, including kidnapping risk Medium to High  People are kidnapped in the Sahel with regularity  Limited mitigation available.  This is an adventure, if we are going to be risk adverse there is no point, we just have to get out there and do it.Maybe there is insurance?
D.    To Demobilization
  1. Unable to Sell before returning to Canada
Medium  Start marketing early,Diversify market options (Ghana local, Europeans interested in overlanding in  AfricaFollow  Canadian import regs
     2.  Change in Canadian Import Regulations Medium

 

Testing the Idea in South Africa

 

Morning at Natal-Drakensberg Park en route to the pass

 

I am not particularly knowledgeable about Land Rovers (there is an understatement!)so before going too far Laura and I thought it might be a good idea  to try to gain some exposure by going to South Africa and trying it out. We rented a 2005 Defender from Bushlore, an expedition outfitting company, and took it from Johannesburg in the north-east part of the country and down through Lesotho and back.   It was slow, noisy, and wonderfully functional.   We had a tent on the roof, propane tanks installed on the rear,  a good fridge and lots of kitchen gear stowed in a drawer system inside.

 

 

 

We were most impressed by its road worthiness.  In this big, heavily  laden vehicle with a relatively small 2.5 Litre diesel engine we climbed the 3,000 metre Sani pass up into the Drakensberg range between South Africa and  Lesotho, which is also known as the  “mountain kingdom”, on a road that is not really a road at all, rather a very rough steep, track, full of quite tight hairpin turns.  As we ascended this valley bounded on both sides by cliffs we honestly could not figure out where the road was going to go to get us out of the steeply walled valley, until we realized we were just going to go over the top.

 

 

 

 

The  road just gets steeper and kind of transforms into a scree slope with tracks until you emerge out the top.  Voici lepass.  Driving our Defender 110 up that mountain was a delight, it simply clambered up the 40 degree slope, made all the tight, switchback turns and kept going, past other vehicles that had stopped dead in their tracks and were being pulled, by other Land Rovers.  In 4WD low it felt as if we could climb straight up.  Unfortunately we did not think to take pictures of the road when it really got tough.

 

 

 

 

At the Summit at the Lesotho border, we really needed those jackets

 

 

When we reached the summit there were only about six other vehicles, all Land Rovers,  (I am not joking – there are a lot of Land Rovers in South Africa) parked at the Sani Pass Inn, which bills itself as the highest bar in Africa.

 

 

 

Road Coming Down into Lesotho From the Sani Pass - as steep and winding as on the SA side, but at least its paved

 

After a well-lubricated pub lunch and a great conversation with the fascinating owner we drove another 100 km to an alpine town and flipped upon our roof-top tent under the stars. We were really enjoying the Land Rover experience.

Mokhotlong Rose Garden Campsite in the Mountains of Lesotho